Venezuela: on the verge of implosion?

By: Beatrice E. Rangel - 07/10/2025

In two-thirds of the Western Hemisphere, the only thing anyone is talking about is the possible outcome of the confrontation between the United States and the regime currently occupying Venezuela. Because when the United States declared war on transnational organized crime, its first target was obviously Venezuela, a country dominated, along with Haiti, by this non-state actor.

For many, a landing of US military units is imminent. For others, it will be a last-minute negotiation that will allow the leaders of the Venezuelan Cosa Nostra to seek refuge somewhere on the planet.

In my view, none of these resolutions have any basis in reality. First, because it's already abundantly clear for the United States that using military force to change regimes is an expensive, complex, and useless strategy, since the countries that have been subjected to this prescription have not seen the flourishing of a democratic system that enshrines freedom for their inhabitants and peace for their neighbors. Let's recall the invasions of Haiti and Iraq, the events in Afghanistan, and the anarchy in Libya. At a time in its history when the United States boasts a public debt equal to its gross domestic product and the Trump administration is redefining the global geopolitical framework, invading Venezuela is ill-advised.

But what is abundantly clear is that the United States is applying a policy of suffocation in Venezuela. This policy has begun by significantly increasing the cost of merchant shipping operations to Venezuela, with daily interdictions of ships bound for that country. From a financial perspective, the sanctions have removed the Venezuelan regime from the framework of international financial systems, forcing it to resort to outsourcing its transactions, which drives costs to unsustainable levels. And finally, the intermediaries and points of sale for precious minerals such as gold and diamonds, as well as the rare earth elements that drive the electronics industry, have been identified. The United States has also begun talks with China to reorganize relations between the two states. Because anyone who believes the talks are limited to who will acquire TikTok is definitely living in limbo. And among the package of issues to reorganize the world is the energy issue. And this advises China to solve its energy needs in the Middle East and not in the Western Hemisphere. So the Venezuelan regime may lose one of its few clients. If it hasn't already. This is without taking into account the reign of terror that has been established throughout eastern Venezuela as a result of the United States blowing up every small-draft vessel that leaves the country's territorial waters.

All of this leads to the conclusion that the US bet on the fate of the Venezuelan regime is implosion. Such an outcome would be brought about by a violent internal collapse. Especially when President Trump himself has said he ordered the severing of all dialogue with the regime led by Nicolas Maduro. That regime, like all those based on the distribution of illicit spoils, tends to collapse in the absence of an influx of economic resources. And the Venezuelan regime is running out of resources. This will sooner or later lead to its collapse.

«The opinions published herein are the sole responsibility of its author».