Trump will not invade Venezuela

By: Luis Gonzales Posada - 29/08/2025

The U.S. government has deployed six warships and a nuclear-powered submarine off the coast of Venezuela, along with 4,500 military personnel.

He has done so, according to President Trump, to confront the Cartel of the Suns, a criminal drug trafficking organization led by Nicolás Maduro and his Interior Minister, Diosdado Cabello, both linked to the Colombian guerrillas of the FARC and the National Liberation Army (ELN), as well as the terrorist group Hezbollah.

In this context, the White House is offering a $50 million reward for the capture of the two individuals, a goal that is impossible to achieve while they are in their country.

At the same time, U.S. Attorney General Pam Bondi announced the seizure of $700 million in assets from a host of shady companies belonging to the Chavista leader, including a mansion in Florida and another in the Dominican Republic, two luxury executive jets, jewelry, and a horse stable.

However, the U.S. lawsuit ignores other, far more serious crimes, classified as "crimes against humanity": the murder, imprisonment, and torture of thousands of people, and the exodus of 8 million Llaneros, according to United Nations figures.

Maduro, however, will continue to commit atrocities with absolute impunity as long as he enjoys diplomatic recognition from Western democracies, especially European ones, with which he maintains full relations at the ambassadorial level.

Let's remember that Chavismo has been in power since 1999, the year Commander Chávez won the elections, governing until his death in 2013. He was replaced by Nicolás Maduro, who, through successive reelections with rigged results, has remained in office and will remain in Miraflores Palace until 2031, despite losing the 2024 elections to opposition candidate Edmundo González, who obtained 70% of the vote.

So what is the purpose of the US offensive? It is not an invasion like the one that occurred in Panama during George Bush's presidency in 1989. The size of Venezuela and the power of its Armed Forces and Bolivarian National Guard make that path impossible, even more so because Caracas has the support of major extracontinental powers, such as Iran, Russia, and China, and of radical leftist regimes in the hemisphere.

Trump's strategy, therefore, aims to wear down the government, discredit it, and encourage the uprising of a military brigade to overthrow him and then prosecute him for drug trafficking, among other crimes.

Trump's offensive has allowed Maduro to mobilize 4 million militia members and rally other sectors in the face of the risk of invasion.

An analysis by journalist Omar Lugo (Diario Clarín 08/28/2025) recalls that "the theory of the external enemy and the supposed threat of an imminent military invasion by the United States served as an excuse for the Castro regime in Cuba for 60 years. Now the model seems to be re-emerging."

He then adds: "For now, a military and police state is already being strengthened, where the excuse of the permanent external war threat will serve to secure the regime in power and to more viciously persecute all those who are not unconditional supporters, with the strange argument that if you are not with Chavismo you are in favor of "the empire."

The road to restoring democracy to Bolívar's homeland is long and rocky. However, the US attack comes at the same time that Trump is lifting sanctions on the oil company Chevron to allow it to continue buying Venezuelan oil. How can Washington explain this double standard in its foreign policy, which only benefits the dictatorship?

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